chenpeihao
4 min readOct 23, 2020

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为什么中国能这么快战胜疫情?

由于中国是世界上人口最多、经济水平高的国家,中国目前是世界第二大国家,中国医疗资源的绝对数量当然很大。这是毫无疑问的。

但是,如果从人均水平看,中国的医疗资源就没那么多了。特别是与一些欧美国家相比,水平还比较低。此外,我国存在区域发展不平衡的问题,区域发展差距较大,不同地区的医疗资源也大不相同。

就武汉而言,医疗资源水平比较高,有些指标甚至超过了上海。虽然上海的人口是武汉的两倍多,但武汉的甲级医院数量和每千人床位数都超过了上海,仅次于北京。

此外,中国的医疗制度,尽管经历了许多曲折和改革,但至今仍以公立医院为主。虽然私家医院的数目已超过公立医院,但就医护人员人数、病床和其他数据而言,公立医院仍处于绝对优势地位。

面对这一流行病,医疗资源当然非常重要,因为它们是防治这一流行病的主要资源,而其他手段只是辅助手段。最后,要靠医疗系统来对抗病毒。但更重要的是如何安排和利用医疗资源,以最大限度地发挥其影响。

In The case of China, it can overcome the virus, first of all, because of the unique advantages of the socialist system, the whole country is a chess game, can in a state of emergency by the central unified dispatch of all resources, and everyone must be subject to this dispatch. This is also China’s biggest advantage in overcoming the epidemic, especially after the comparison between Europe and the US.

Secondly, the strategy as a whole is more appropriate, more timely closure of the city. When Wuhan was closed, the number of confirmed cases was only over 300, but the central government decided to close the city decisively because wuhan was constantly exporting the epidemic. From a strategic point of view, this is equal to the determination to contain the virus in Wuhan, to eliminate. Europe and the United States have always been the strategy to slow the spread of the epidemic.

It is also because of the timely closure of Wuhan city, other places did not have a large outbreak, to continue from other provinces and cities to send a steady stream of medical personnel reinforcement Wuhan. If The closure of Wuhan city is not timely enough, other places also have a large outbreak, it will be difficult to continue to send medical personnel to reinforce Wuhan as later.

But the large-scale, cross-regional deployment of medical resources, in fact, China has also done this time is very difficult. Many people may have seen the nurse from a place in Inner Mongolia ordered to reinforce Wuhan, only she went alone. The warm welcome on the way back illustrates the extent of China’s mobilization.

In this sense, even if the final number of confirmed cases in Wuhan doubles again, China will still be able to put them out, but if another Wuhan or two appear, China will hardly be able to cope as calmly as this time, and medical resources will be quite stretched. This, in turn, may explain the necessity of wuhan’s closure.

Moreover, China’s strategy was not obstinacy. Although it made some mistakes and took some detours in the early stage, it soon adjusted its thinking, shifting from a treatment-oriented approach to a disease-prevention approach. In short, it is a key strategic decision to build a large number of makeshift hospitals in Wuhan and centralize the isolation of patients with mild diseases.

If there is no great effort to build a makeshift hospital and make a decision to isolate patients with mild cases as soon as possible, it will still be difficult to control the epidemic by requiring them to isolate patients at home as before. In the end, it will become a strategy of increasing troops one after another and racing against the virus with limited medical resources, just like in Europe and The United States.

Although China is also a successive surge, rather than from the outset decisively to concentrate superior forces play big annihilation, but for sealing in a timely manner, and soon decided to build square hospital, concentrated segregation in patients with mild, so although is successive surge of oil tactics, but containment is successful on the whole, not let the virus spread out on a larger scale.

In other words, the most important thing is not the adequacy of medical resources, but the scheduling capacity and strategy. The main reason why European and American countries have not blocked the virus from beginning to end is that they did not close the city in time. Instead of adopting containment strategies at the very beginning, they have been racing against the virus with limited medical resources and fought a war of attrition.

Of course, even if Europe and the United States are willing to learn from China’s approach, its

It can’t be done. For example, the United States is a federalist country with strong state independence. If it wants to send medical workers from other states to reinforce the worst-hit New York area, the federal government does not have the capacity. European countries face the same problem.

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